League of Legends

Conviction vs Contingent Esports Prediction

August 7, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Conviction vs Contingent Esports prediction for August 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Contingent Esports 2 - Conviction 0. Contingent Esports is favored with a 72.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Contingent Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • NACL
Conviction
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
72.2%
27.8%
Contingent EsportsConviction
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALContingent Esports 0 — Conviction 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 77.3% (13,711 games)

Team Profiles

Conviction
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
56%
Elo: 1585 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Contingent Esports
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1911 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 3-0 (100%)

Score Distribution

Conviction winsContingent Esports wins
0-2
43.4%
1-2
29.1%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
18.8%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.54

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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