NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Contingent Esports 0 - NRG Esports 2. NRG Esports is favored with a 74.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Contingent Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
NRG Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Contingent EsportsNRG Esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.6% (17,552 games)
Team Profiles
NRG Esports
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1863 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Contingent Esports
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
60%
Elo: 1661 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 4-5 (44%)
Score Distribution
NRG Esports winsContingent Esports wins
0-2
12.0%
1-2
14.3%
2-0
40.2%
2-1
33.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
NRG Esports
-3659
Contingent Esports
+756
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.63
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.