CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for September 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 1 - CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 2. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 50.1% win probability. Movistar KOI Fénix wins more simulations despite the lower average score. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI Fénix
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • PCS
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixCTBC Flying Oyster Academy
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.4% (19,111 games)
Team Profiles
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
70%
Elo: 1875 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1867 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-2
25.8%
1-2
24.3%
2-0
22.7%
2-1
27.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy
+150
Movistar KOI Fénix
-156
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.