NightBirds vs eSuba prediction for September 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects eSuba 0 - NightBirds 3. NightBirds is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
eSuba
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
eSubaNightBirds
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.1% (19,065 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1922 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 9-1 (90%)
eSuba
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
59%
Elo: 1657 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
NightBirds winseSuba wins
0-3
3.0%
1-3
9.5%
2-3
12.4%
3-0
34.8%
3-1
24.9%
3-2
15.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
NightBirds
-2400
eSuba
+1567
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.