Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster prediction for August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CTBC Flying Oyster 2 - Team Secret Whales 3. CTBC Flying Oyster is favored with a 51.9% win probability. CTBC Flying Oyster wins more simulations despite the lower average score. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
CTBC Flying Oyster
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCP
Team Secret Whales
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
CTBC Flying OysterTeam Secret Whales
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.5% (18,311 games)
Team Profiles
Team Secret Whales
Early
56%
Mid
57%
Late
57%
Elo: 1610 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 6-4 (60%)
CTBC Flying Oyster
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
59%
Elo: 1657 · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Score Distribution
Team Secret Whales winsCTBC Flying Oyster wins
0-3
10.4%
1-3
20.5%
2-3
18.7%
3-0
11.9%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
21.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Secret Whales
-456
CTBC Flying Oyster
+426
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.