Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics prediction for August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Heretics 0 - Movistar KOI 2. Movistar KOI is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Team Heretics
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Movistar KOI
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team HereticsMovistar KOI
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.1% (2,665 games)
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
51%
Elo: 1487 · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Team Heretics
Early
34%
Mid
35%
Late
36%
Elo: 1188 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI winsTeam Heretics wins
0-2
10.1%
1-2
14.9%
2-0
48.5%
2-1
26.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Movistar KOI
-400
Team Heretics
+376
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.