T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports prediction for September 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Cupid Esports 2 - T1 Academy 3. T1 Academy is favored with a 53.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Cupid Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • World Star Challengers Invitational
T1 Academy
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Cupid EsportsT1 Academy
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.8% (19,352 games)
Team Profiles
T1 Academy
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
70%
Elo: 1872 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Cupid Esports
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1938 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-1 (90%)
Score Distribution
T1 Academy winsCupid Esports wins
0-3
9.0%
1-3
18.8%
2-3
19.2%
3-0
13.6%
3-1
18.7%
3-2
20.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
T1 Academy
-4900
Cupid Esports
+2400
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.26
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.