Esprit Shōnen vs Skillcamp Esport prediction for September 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Skillcamp Esport 3 - Esprit Shōnen 1. Skillcamp Esport is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Skillcamp Esport
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LFL
Esprit Shōnen
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Skillcamp EsportEsprit Shōnen
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.8% (2,833 games)
Team Profiles
Esprit Shōnen
Early
39%
Mid
40%
Late
40%
Elo: 1276 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-10 (0%)
Skillcamp Esport
Early
59%
Mid
60%
Late
61%
Elo: 1688 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
Esprit Shōnen winsSkillcamp Esport wins
0-3
29.4%
1-3
30.3%
2-3
15.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
14.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Esprit Shōnen
+809
Skillcamp Esport
-733
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.