UCAM vs Falke prediction for July 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Falke 0 - UCAM 2. UCAM is favored with a 85.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Falke
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA
UCAM
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
FalkeUCAM
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.7% (10,965 games)
Team Profiles
UCAM
Elo: 1829 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Falke
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)
Score Distribution
UCAM winsFalke wins
0-2
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-0
54.8%
2-1
30.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.3%Context +0.4%
Key Factors
- UCAM holds a significant Elo advantage (329 pts)
Market Odds
UCAM
-4581
Edge: -12.7%
Falke
+1278
Edge: +100.8%
🎯 Projection: Falke ML @ +1278 · Edge +100.8%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.63
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →