League of Legends

Fnatic vs Team Heretics Prediction

April 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Fnatic vs Team Heretics prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Heretics 0 - Fnatic 2. Fnatic is favored with a 71.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Team Heretics
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LEC
Fnatic
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
28.7%
71.3%
Team HereticsFnatic
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALTeam Heretics 0 — Fnatic 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.0% (6,458 games)

Team Profiles

Fnatic
Early
46%
Mid
45%
Late
42%
Elo: 1495 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 26-56 (32%)
Team Heretics
Early
39%
Mid
47%
Late
45%
Elo: 1369 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 26-41 (39%)

Score Distribution

Fnatic winsTeam Heretics wins
0-2
12.6%
1-2
16.2%
2-0
39.8%
2-1
31.5%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.1%Draft -0.1%Context +0.7%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Fnatic
-275
Edge: -2.8%
Team Heretics
+200
Edge: -13.8%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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