League of Legends

Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports Prediction

August 11, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports prediction for August 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects mCon esports 0 - Frites Esports Club 2. Frites Esports Club is favored with a 86.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

mCon esports
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Road of Legends
Frites Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
13.8%
86.2%
mCon esportsFrites Esports Club
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALmCon esports 0 — Frites Esports Club 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 90.3% (14,357 games)

Team Profiles

Frites Esports Club
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1936 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
mCon esports
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
57%
Elo: 1608 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)

Score Distribution

Frites Esports Club winsmCon esports wins
0-2
4.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
54.8%
2-1
32.8%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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