NightBirds vs Onion Team prediction for August 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Onion Team 0 - NightBirds 2. NightBirds is favored with a 88.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Onion Team
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Onion TeamNightBirds
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 90.3% (14,357 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Early
63%
Mid
64%
Late
65%
Elo: 1769 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Onion Team
Early
35%
Mid
36%
Late
37%
Elo: 1206 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-6 (14%)
Score Distribution
NightBirds winsOnion Team wins
0-2
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
59.2%
2-1
28.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.44
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.