G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI prediction for July 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 1 - G2 Esports 2. G2 Esports is favored with a 90.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
G2 Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOIG2 Esports
2-1
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.0% (11,166 games)
Team Profiles
G2 Esports
Early
59%
Mid
58%
Late
57%
Elo: 1712 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-1 (89%)
Movistar KOI
Early
51%
Mid
51%
Late
50%
Elo: 1553 · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
G2 Esports winsMovistar KOI wins
0-2
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-0
44.6%
2-1
45.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +1.8%Draft +1.0%Phase +1.5%Context +1.2%
Key Factors
- G2 Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (159 pts)
- G2 Esports holds a slight edge in player quality
- G2 Esports leads the H2H record 6-2
Market Odds
G2 Esports
-250
Edge: +26.3%
Movistar KOI
+185
Edge: -72.1%
🎯 Projection: G2 Esports ML @ -250 · Edge +26.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →