Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis prediction for September 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Kawaii Kiwis 2 - Guinea Pink 3. Kawaii Kiwis is favored with a 52.7% win probability. Kawaii Kiwis wins more simulations despite the lower average score. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Kawaii Kiwis
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LES
Guinea Pink
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Kawaii KiwisGuinea Pink
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.7% (2,909 games)
Team Profiles
Guinea Pink
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
Kawaii Kiwis
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
60%
Elo: 1661 · Record: 1-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Guinea Pink winsKawaii Kiwis wins
0-3
12.2%
1-3
20.3%
2-3
20.2%
3-0
10.1%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
20.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Guinea Pink
+133
Kawaii Kiwis
-150
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.92
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.