TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue prediction for September 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Karmine Corp Blue 3 - TLN Pirates 1. Karmine Corp Blue is favored with a 67.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Karmine Corp Blue
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LFL
TLN Pirates
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Karmine Corp BlueTLN Pirates
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.2% (18,304 games)
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Early
60%
Mid
61%
Late
61%
Elo: 1693 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Karmine Corp Blue
Early
64%
Mid
65%
Late
66%
Elo: 1782 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsKarmine Corp Blue wins
0-3
29.7%
1-3
31.8%
2-3
19.3%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
10.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
TLN Pirates
+163
Karmine Corp Blue
-163
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.