League of Legends

Bohemian Guardians vs NightBirds Prediction

September 2, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Bohemian Guardians vs NightBirds prediction for September 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 2 - Bohemian Guardians 0. NightBirds is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • EMEA
Bohemian Guardians
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
75.0%
25.0%
NightBirdsBohemian Guardians
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.8% (18,680 games)
FINALNightBirds 2 — Bohemian Guardians 0
Projected
NightBirds 2 — Bohemian Guardians 0
Actual
NightBirds 2 — Bohemian Guardians 0

Team Profiles

Bohemian Guardians
Early
31%
Mid
32%
Late
33%
Elo: 1128 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)
NightBirds
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1864 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)

Score Distribution

Bohemian Guardians winsNightBirds wins
0-2
51.1%
1-2
23.9%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
16.7%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Bohemian Guardians
-103
NightBirds
+100
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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