League of Legends

Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy Prediction

September 2, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy prediction for September 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 0 - Estral Esports 3. Estral Esports is favored with a 66.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • CD
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
33.5%
66.5%
Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyEstral Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.8% (18,680 games)

Team Profiles

Estral Esports
Early
61%
Mid
62%
Late
63%
Elo: 1724 · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
57%
Elo: 1606 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)

Score Distribution

Estral Esports winsVivo Keyd Stars Academy wins
0-3
4.7%
1-3
12.2%
2-3
16.6%
3-0
24.8%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
17.4%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Estral Esports
-1011
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
+1011
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.26

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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