NRG Esports vs Conviction prediction for September 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Conviction 0 - NRG Esports 3. NRG Esports is favored with a 67.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
Conviction
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • NACL
NRG Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ConvictionNRG Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.8% (18,680 games)
Team Profiles
NRG Esports
Early
65%
Mid
66%
Late
66%
Elo: 1797 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Conviction
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
56%
Elo: 1597 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
NRG Esports winsConviction wins
0-3
4.2%
1-3
12.3%
2-3
16.6%
3-0
26.5%
3-1
24.0%
3-2
16.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
NRG Esports
-245
Conviction
+245
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.