League of Legends

LOUD vs paiN Gaming Prediction

July 25, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LOUD vs paiN Gaming prediction for July 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects paiN Gaming 2 - LOUD 0. paiN Gaming is favored with a 55.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

paiN Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • CBLOL
LOUD
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
55.3%
44.7%
paiN GamingLOUD
0-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALpaiN Gaming 0 — LOUD 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.3% (12,230 games)

Team Profiles

LOUD
Elo: 1319 · Record: 3-3 (50%)
paiN Gaming
Elo: 1371 · Record: 10-10 (50%)

Score Distribution

LOUD winspaiN Gaming wins
0-2
26.8%
1-2
25.7%
2-0
21.8%
2-1
25.7%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

LOUD
-175
paiN Gaming
+135
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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