LYON vs Sentinels prediction for August 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Sentinels 0 - LYON 2. LYON is favored with a 73.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Sentinels
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
LYON
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SentinelsLYON
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.0% (16,862 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1578 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Sentinels
Early
43%
Mid
44%
Late
44%
Elo: 1360 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsSentinels wins
0-2
11.8%
1-2
12.5%
2-0
42.7%
2-1
33.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
LYON
-750
Sentinels
+450
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.