Matty Lodis vs Valerion Esports prediction for September 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Valerion Esports 2 - Matty Lodis 0. Valerion Esports is favored with a 70.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Valerion Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Matty Lodis
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Valerion EsportsMatty Lodis
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.2% (19,259 games)
Team Profiles
Matty Lodis
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight
Valerion Esports
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1972 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Matty Lodis winsValerion Esports wins
0-2
43.4%
1-2
26.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
18.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Matty Lodis
+110
Valerion Esports
-145
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.