UB Alma Mater vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for August 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 2 - UB Alma Mater 0. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 83.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI Fénix
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
UB Alma Mater
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixUB Alma Mater
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 84.8% (12,862 games)
Team Profiles
UB Alma Mater
Early
30%
Mid
31%
Late
32%
Elo: 1028 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
64%
Mid
65%
Late
66%
Elo: 1789 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
UB Alma Mater winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-2
55.4%
1-2
30.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.55
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.