Movistar KOI vs Vitality prediction for September 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality 2 - Movistar KOI 0. Vitality is favored with a 53.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Vitality
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Movistar KOI
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
VitalityMovistar KOI
0-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.4% (18,981 games)
Projected
Vitality 2 — Movistar KOI 0
Actual
Vitality 0 — Movistar KOI 1
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1492 · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Vitality
Early
52%
Mid
53%
Late
53%
Elo: 1534 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI winsVitality wins
0-2
28.7%
1-2
24.3%
2-0
20.2%
2-1
26.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Movistar KOI
+230
Vitality
-266
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.