Team Phantasma vs Valerion prediction for September 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Valerion 3 - Team Phantasma 1. Valerion is favored with a 68.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Valerion
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • EMEA
Team Phantasma
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ValerionTeam Phantasma
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (18,981 games)
Projected
Valerion 3 — Team Phantasma 1
Actual
Valerion 3 — Team Phantasma 1
Team Profiles
Team Phantasma
Early
65%
Mid
66%
Late
66%
Elo: 1793 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Valerion
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1938 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Team Phantasma winsValerion wins
0-3
22.2%
1-3
26.2%
2-3
19.7%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
10.7%
3-2
15.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Phantasma
+1150
Valerion
-1567
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.