UCAM Esports Club vs NightBirds prediction for October 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 0 - UCAM Esports Club 2. UCAM Esports Club is favored with a 67.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
NightBirds
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA Masters
UCAM Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NightBirdsUCAM Esports Club
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.3% (19,523 games)
Projected
NightBirds 0 — UCAM Esports Club 2
Actual
NightBirds 0 — UCAM Esports Club 2
Team Profiles
UCAM Esports Club
Early
61%
Mid
62%
Late
62%
Elo: 1717 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
NightBirds
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
70%
Elo: 1879 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
UCAM Esports Club winsNightBirds wins
0-2
17.9%
1-2
14.6%
2-0
44.1%
2-1
23.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
UCAM Esports Club
-1111
NightBirds
+440
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.