Phoenix Team vs Dark Passage prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Dark Passage 3 - Phoenix Team 1. Dark Passage is favored with a 62.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Dark Passage
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Phoenix Team
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Dark PassagePhoenix Team
1-3
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.5% (6,458 games)
Team Profiles
Phoenix Team
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight
Dark Passage
Elo: 1298 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 4-8 (33%)
Score Distribution
Phoenix Team winsDark Passage wins
0-3
16.8%
1-3
24.9%
2-3
21.3%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
13.0%
3-2
16.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.2%Phase +0.8%Context +0.8%
Key Factors
- Phoenix Team holds a significant Elo advantage (202 pts)
Market Odds
Phoenix Team
+320
Edge: +55.6%
Dark Passage
-485
Edge: -24.1%
🎯 Projection: Phoenix Team ML @ +320 · Edge +55.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.76
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →