League of Legends

Shifters vs Vitality Prediction

April 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Shifters vs Vitality prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality 3 - Shifters 0. Vitality is favored with a 86.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-3 (Best of 5).

Vitality
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
Shifters
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
86.2%
13.8%
VitalityShifters
0-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALVitality 0 — Shifters 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.5% (6,458 games)

Team Profiles

Shifters
Early
55%
Mid
49%
Late
48%
Elo: 1337 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-6 (45%)
Vitality
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
49%
Elo: 1626 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 33-35 (49%)

Score Distribution

Shifters winsVitality wins
0-3
34.5%
1-3
33.2%
2-3
18.5%
3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-2
7.4%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -1.3%Draft -0.4%Phase -1.2%Context -2.5%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Shifters
+425
Edge: -27.5%
Vitality
-700
Edge: -1.5%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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