League of Legends

SK Gaming vs Vitality Prediction

May 2, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

SK Gaming vs Vitality prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality 3 - SK Gaming 0. Vitality is favored with a 85.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-3 (Best of 5).

Vitality
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
SK Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
85.5%
14.5%
VitalitySK Gaming
0-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALVitality 1 — SK Gaming 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (6,921 games)

Team Profiles

SK Gaming
Early
35%
Mid
39%
Late
33%
Elo: 1329 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-48 (11%)
Vitality
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
49%
Elo: 1614 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 33-35 (49%)

Score Distribution

SK Gaming winsVitality wins
0-3
34.2%
1-3
32.6%
2-3
18.7%
3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-2
7.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -1.4%Draft -0.1%Phase -2.1%Context -1.0%

Key Factors

Market Odds

SK Gaming
+1200
Edge: +88.1%
Vitality
-3333
Edge: -11.9%
🎯 Projection: SK Gaming ML @ +1200 · Edge +88.1%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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