CHA vs BKN prediction for October 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects BKN 107.6 - CHA 111.8. CHA is favored with a 60.5% win probability. The spread is 1.5 and the total is 219.5.
BKN
107.6
Projected Score
VS
O/U 219.5
CHA
111.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
BKNCHA
+1.5
Spread (BKN)
219.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.7% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
CHA
102112122
BKN
98108118
Projected
BKN 107.6 — CHA 111.8
Actual
BKN 103 — CHA 110
Model Projection
🔒
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
CHA4 OUT
Brandon Miller20.2PPG4.9RPG3.3APG
Grayson Allen16.5PPG3.0RPG3.8APG
Royce O'Neale9.8PPG4.8RPG2.7APG
Naz Reid13.6PPG6.2RPG2.2APG
Moussa Diabate7.9PPG8.7RPG1.9APG
BKN1 OUT
Julius Randle21.1PPG6.7RPG5.0APG
Michael Porter Jr.24.2PPG7.1RPG3.0APG
Noah Clowney12.3PPG4.1RPG1.6APG
Egor Demin10.3PPG3.2RPG3.3APG
Terance Mann7.2PPG3.2RPG3.0APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.