STL vs NSH — November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation has completed 10,000 iterations for this matchup. The market spread is -1.5 with a total of 6.0. Projected scores and win probabilities are shown below; the model edge, recommended pick and Kelly unit sizing are premium.
NSH
3.34
Projected Score
VS
O/U 6.0
STL
2.61
Projected Score
Win Probability
NSHSTL
-1.5
Spread (NSH)
6.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Projected
NSH 3.34 — STL 2.61
Actual
NSH 3 — STL 1
Pick Results
Over 6.0totalLOSS-0.61u
Game Odds
NSH ML
-104
STL ML
-110
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.0
Edge Detail
NSH Edge
-3.5%
STL Edge
+0.1%
Projected Total
5.95
-0.05 vs line
Goalie Matchup
Joel Hofer
24-132.39 GAA91.8% SV
Juuse Saros
28-222.77 GAA90.8% SV
Special Teams
Power Play
Penalty Kill
90% Confidence: 62.0% – 63.6% home win probability
AI Intelligence Analysis
NEUTRAL -1
A true pick'em (model STL 52.5%, both ML -110) with confirmed goalies (Hofer.917 vs Saros.908). The game started at 18:10Z, so the pregame odds are stale and there's no edge.
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.