Soccer

Albania (W) vs Czech Republic (W) Prediction

June 5, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Albania (W) vs Czech Republic (W) prediction for June 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Czech Republic (W) 2.23 - Albania (W) 0.47. Czech Republic (W) is favored with a 85.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..

Czech Republic (W)
2.23
Projected Goals
VS 2.7 total
Albania (W)
0.47
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
85.7%
8%
6.4%
Czech Republic (W)DrawAlbania (W)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 86.0% (1,114 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Albania (W)
0.00.51.2
Czech Republic (W)
1.52.23.0

Expected Goals (xG)

Czech Republic (W)2.23
Albania (W)0.47
16.3Shots16.3
5.8On Target5.9
5.6Corners5.7

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
80.0%
Over 2.5
48.0%
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 2.5
52.0%
BTTS
57.5%

Most Likely Scores

2-0
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.8%

Match Context

WCMedium
Czech Republic (W)
1.09
Draw
26.00
Albania (W)
126.00

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Czech Republic (W) 85.7%
--
Total
2.7
+11.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks