Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects New York Red Bulls 2.25 - Atlanta United FC 1.62. New York Red Bulls is favored with a 50.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.9..
New York Red Bulls
2.25
Projected Goals
VS
3.9 total
Atlanta United FC
1.62
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
New York Red BullsDrawAtlanta United FC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.5% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Atlanta United FC
0.81.62.4
New York Red Bulls
1.52.23.0
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls2.25
Atlanta United FC1.62
18.3Shots16.6
6.7On Target6.0
5.9Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.6%
Over 1.5
90.2%
Over 2.5
74.1%
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
25.9%
BTTS
62.1%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
Match Context
MLSMedium
New York Red Bulls
1.85
Draw
4.40
Atlanta United FC
3.66
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.