Bologna vs Cremonese prediction for April 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Cremonese 1.27 - Bologna 1.75. Bologna is favored with a 57.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Cremonese
1.27
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Bologna
1.75
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
CremoneseDrawBologna
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 94.5% (630 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bologna
1.01.82.5
Cremonese
0.51.32.0
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.26
Bologna1.72
13.6Shots16.9
5.0On Target6.5
5.2Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.7%
Over 1.5
81.3%
Over 2.5
28.7%
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 2.5
71.3%
BTTS
40.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1 (13.2%)0-1 (10.7%)1-2 (9.2%)0-0 (8.5%)0-2 (8.5%)
Match Context
SERMedium
Cremonese
3.63
Draw
3.39
Bologna
2.19
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bologna 57.9%
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Total
3.0
+26.8 pts
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →