Lyon vs Angers prediction for April 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Angers 1.36 - Lyon 1.42. Lyon is favored with a 33.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Angers
1.36
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Lyon
1.42
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
AngersDrawLyon
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 94.5% (630 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Lyon
0.61.42.2
Angers
0.61.42.1
Expected Goals (xG)
Angers1.35
Lyon1.41
14.4Shots14.7
5.3On Target5.4
5.4Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.6%
Over 1.5
77.1%
Over 2.5
29.1%
Over 3.5
16.9%
Under 2.5
70.9%
BTTS
50.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1 (13.4%)1-0 (8.6%)0-1 (8.6%)2-1 (8.3%)1-2 (8.2%)
Match Context
LIGMedium
Angers
10.72
Draw
1.35
Lyon
4.53
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lyon 33.2%
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Total
2.8
+97.4 pts
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →