Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21 prediction for August 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Cardiff City U21 1.34 - Bournemouth U21 1.45. Bournemouth U21 is favored with a 41.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Cardiff City U21
1.34
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Bournemouth U21
1.45
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Cardiff City U21DrawBournemouth U21
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.0% (1,204 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bournemouth U21
0.71.42.2
Cardiff City U21
0.61.32.1
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff City U211.34
Bournemouth U211.45
16.8Shots16.2
6.4On Target5.8
5.7Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.3%
Over 1.5
77.8%
Over 2.5
48.4%
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
51.6%
BTTS
51.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Cardiff City U21
2.65
Draw
3.80
Bournemouth U21
2.10
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.