Soccer

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin Prediction

August 29, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin prediction for August 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Union Berlin 0.98 - Eintracht Frankfurt 2.16. Eintracht Frankfurt is favored with a 60.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..

Union Berlin
0.98
Projected Goals
VS 3.1 total
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.16
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
14.3%
26%
60.2%
Union BerlinDrawEintracht Frankfurt
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.2% (1,298 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Eintracht Frankfurt
1.42.22.9
Union Berlin
0.21.01.8

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin0.98
Eintracht Frankfurt2.16
18.6Shots14.6
6.7On Target5.5
6.0Corners5.3

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
96.3%
Over 1.5
77.8%
Over 2.5
60.4%
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%
BTTS
60.0%

Most Likely Scores

0-2
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
10.1%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.5%

Match Context

BUNMedium
Union Berlin
6.46
Draw
4.21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.52

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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