FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin prediction for September 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Union Berlin 1.52 - FC Schalke 04 1.37. Union Berlin is favored with a 40.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Union Berlin
1.52
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
FC Schalke 04
1.37
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Union BerlinDrawFC Schalke 04
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 68.2% (1,462 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
FC Schalke 04
0.61.42.1
Union Berlin
0.71.52.3
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin1.52
FC Schalke 041.37
16.0Shots17.1
5.8On Target6.2
5.5Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.3%
Over 1.5
78.8%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 2.5
45.6%
BTTS
58.1%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Union Berlin
2.43
Draw
3.57
FC Schalke 04
2.98
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.