Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction for October 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects San Jose Earthquakes 1.53 - Nashville SC 1.78. Nashville SC is favored with a 42.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
San Jose Earthquakes
1.53
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Nashville SC
1.78
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
San Jose EarthquakesDrawNashville SC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.4% (1,756 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Nashville SC
1.01.82.6
San Jose Earthquakes
0.81.52.3
Projected
San Jose Earthquakes 1.53 — Nashville SC 1.78
Actual
San Jose Earthquakes 1 — Nashville SC 1
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.53
Nashville SC1.78
18.4Shots16.3
6.6On Target5.8
5.9Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
84.9%
Over 2.5
64.3%
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 2.5
35.7%
BTTS
42.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.0%
Match Context
MLSMedium
San Jose Earthquakes
3.60
Draw
4.07
Nashville SC
1.95
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.