Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction for September 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Seattle Sounders FC 1.88 - Real Salt Lake 1.24. Seattle Sounders FC is favored with a 53.3% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Seattle Sounders FC
1.88
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Real Salt Lake
1.24
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Seattle Sounders FCDrawReal Salt Lake
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.6% (1,620 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Salt Lake
0.51.22.0
Seattle Sounders FC
1.11.92.7
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders FC1.88
Real Salt Lake1.24
20.1Shots16.5
7.4On Target5.9
6.1Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.5%
Over 1.5
81.7%
Over 2.5
57.7%
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 2.5
42.3%
BTTS
62.1%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Seattle Sounders FC
1.78
Draw
4.10
Real Salt Lake
4.37
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.