Real Sociedad vs Real Betis prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Real Betis 1.76 - Real Sociedad 1.25. Real Betis is favored with a 49.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Real Betis
1.76
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Real Sociedad
1.25
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real BetisDrawReal Sociedad
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.3% (1,230 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Sociedad
0.51.22.0
Real Betis
1.01.82.5
Projected
Real Betis 1.76 — Real Sociedad 1.25
Actual
Real Betis 1 — Real Sociedad 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Betis1.76
Real Sociedad1.25
21.3Shots16.5
7.8On Target5.9
6.3Corners5.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.7%
Over 1.5
79.1%
Over 2.5
53.3%
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
BTTS
51.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
Match Context
LALMedium
Real Betis
2.12
Draw
3.51
Real Sociedad
3.67
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.