VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich prediction for August 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Bayern Munich 2.29 - VfB Stuttgart 0.85. Bayern Munich is favored with a 71.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Bayern Munich
2.29
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
VfB Stuttgart
0.85
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Bayern MunichDrawVfB Stuttgart
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.8% (1,284 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
VfB Stuttgart
0.10.81.6
Bayern Munich
1.52.33.1
Projected
Bayern Munich 2.29 — VfB Stuttgart 0.85
Actual
Bayern Munich 5 — VfB Stuttgart 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern Munich2.29
VfB Stuttgart0.85
18.4Shots14.1
7.1On Target4.9
6.0Corners5.4
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.3%
Over 1.5
77.9%
Over 2.5
60.8%
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 2.5
39.2%
BTTS
58.1%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.7%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Bayern Munich
1.23
Draw
7.15
VfB Stuttgart
11.20
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.