Alexander Shevchenko vs Dino Prizmic prediction for August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Dino Prizmic 0 - Alexander Shevchenko 0. Alexander Shevchenko is favored with a 52.0% win probability.
Dino Prizmic
1832
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Alexander Shevchenko
1791
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Dino PrizmicAlexander Shevchenko
Hard
Surface
ATP US Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.0% (16,976 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP US Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Alexander Shevchenko
Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic leads by 41 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Alexander Shevchenko SPW
62.8%
Below tour avg
Dino Prizmic SPW
60.6%
Below tour avg
● Alexander Shevchenko has a slight serve edge (+2.2%)
Odds & Edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Dino Prizmic has a moderate 41-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Alexander Shevchenko has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded TENNIS 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the TENNIS 2026 season report card.