Jil Teichmann vs Mirra Andreeva prediction for May 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mirra Andreeva 0 - Jil Teichmann 0. Mirra Andreeva is favored with a 61.1% win probability.
Mirra Andreeva
1811
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Jil Teichmann
1508
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Mirra AndreevaJil Teichmann
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.7% (3,925 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Jil Teichmann
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva leads by 303 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Jil Teichmann SPW
54.1%
Below tour avg
Mirra Andreeva SPW
55.9%
Below tour avg
● Mirra Andreeva has a slight serve edge (+1.8%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jil Teichmann ML
+733
Model: 39%
Edge: +26.9%
Mirra Andreeva ML
-1068
Model: 61%
Edge: -30.4%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +733 · +26.9% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Mirra Andreeva holds a commanding 303-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Mirra Andreeva has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mirra Andreeva 61.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →