Karolina Muchova vs Jil Teichmann prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Karolina Muchova 0. Karolina Muchova is favored with a 56.1% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1508
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Karolina Muchova
1731
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannKarolina Muchova
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.6% (6,716 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Karolina Muchova
Jil Teichmann
Karolina Muchova leads by 223 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Karolina Muchova SPW
56.1%
Below tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
57.5%
Above tour avg
● Jil Teichmann has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Karolina Muchova ML
-1088
Model: 56%
Edge: -35.5%
Jil Teichmann ML
+715
Model: 44%
Edge: +31.7%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +715 · +31.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Karolina Muchova holds a commanding 223-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Jil Teichmann has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Karolina Muchova 56.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →