Karolina Muchova vs Jil Teichmann prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Karolina Muchova 0. Karolina Muchova is favored with a 50.2% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1508
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Karolina Muchova
1731
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannKarolina Muchova
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.2% (3,925 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Karolina Muchova
Jil Teichmann
Karolina Muchova leads by 223 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Karolina Muchova SPW
56.1%
Below tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
57.5%
Above tour avg
● Jil Teichmann has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Karolina Muchova ML
-207
Model: 50%
Edge: -17.3%
Jil Teichmann ML
+189
Model: 50%
Edge: +15.2%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +189 · +15.2% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Karolina Muchova holds a commanding 223-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Jil Teichmann has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Karolina Muchova 50.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →