WNBA Basketball

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever Prediction

September 22, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever prediction for September 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Indiana Fever 90.6 - Minnesota Lynx 87.9. Indiana Fever is favored with a 58.5% win probability.

Indiana Fever
90.6
Projected Score
VS
Minnesota Lynx
87.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
58.5%
41.5%
Indiana FeverMinnesota Lynx
N/A
Spread
N/A
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.5% (350 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Minnesota Lynx
818895
Indiana Fever
839198

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.

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