Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun prediction for September 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Connecticut Sun 86.5 - Toronto Tempo 86.9. Toronto Tempo is favored with a 51.5% win probability. The spread is -2.0 and the total is 168.5.
Connecticut Sun
86.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 168.5
Toronto Tempo
86.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
Connecticut SunToronto Tempo
-2.0
Spread (Connecticut Sun)
168.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.5% (350 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Toronto Tempo
808794
Connecticut Sun
798694
Market Lines
Spread
Connecticut Sun -2.0
Total
168.5
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.