New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever prediction for August 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Indiana Fever 90.3 - New York Liberty 84.9. Indiana Fever is favored with a 67.0% win probability. The spread is -14.5 and the total is 199.5.
Indiana Fever
90.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 199.5
New York Liberty
84.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
Indiana FeverNew York Liberty
-14.5
Spread (Indiana Fever)
199.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.5% (272 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
New York Liberty
788592
Indiana Fever
839098
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.