Alabama State vs Texas Southern prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Texas Southern 23.2 - Alabama State 32.4. Alabama State is favored with a 67.0% win probability. The spread is 6.5 and the total is 54.5.
Texas Southern
23.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 54.5
Alabama State
32.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
Texas SouthernAlabama State
+6.5
Spread (Texas Southern)
54.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.4% (1,138 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Alabama State
253240
Texas Southern
162330
Market Lines
Spread
Texas Southern +6.5
Total
54.5
Moneyline
+206
Away -265
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →