College Football

Northern Illinois vs San José State Prediction

November 7, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Northern Illinois vs San José State prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects San José State 32.0 - Northern Illinois 19.9. San José State is favored with a 79.4% win probability. The spread is -12.5 and the total is 52.5.

San José State
32.0
Projected Score
VS O/U 52.5
Northern Illinois
19.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
79.4%
20.6%
San José StateNorthern Illinois
-12.5
Spread (San José State)
52.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.6% (1,138 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Northern Illinois
132027
San José State
253239

Market Lines

Spread
San José State -12.5
Total
52.5
Moneyline
-440
Away +340

Model Edge & Sizing

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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